Date: 14th February 2018 at 2:09pm
Written by:


Our new poll asks how many more games you think Villa will win, DeanoVilla has looked at what we’ll need for automatic promotion.

Just spotted the poll on the right hand side which seemed to suggest we need another 11 wins from our remaining 15 games to assure auto promotion, so it got me wondering, historically is that accurate?

Below are the amount of points that would have secured automatic promotion in seasons gone by –

2016/17 – 86
2015/16 – 89
2014/15 – 87
2013/14 – 86
2012/13 – 78
2011/12 – 87
2010/11 – 81
2009/10 – 80
2008/09 – 81
2007/08 – 76
2006/07 – 85
2005/06 – 82
2004/05 – 86
2003/04 – 80
2002/03 – 81
2001/02 – 84
2000/01 – 87

So the mean average over the last 17 seasons would be 83.3 (lets round up to 84 points).

The median average also happens to be 84 points.



To be on the safe side lets set a target of 87. Only once in the last 17 years has it been required to achieve more than 87 points to gain auto promotion.

So that means we need another 28 points.

9 wins and a draw.
8 wins and 4 draws.

I think we’re more than capable of that. Premiership here we come!

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